Showing posts with label economics. Show all posts
Showing posts with label economics. Show all posts

Thursday, October 30, 2008

Redistributing Wealth

Insightful letter to the editor in the Chicago Tribune yesterday. It's easier to identify the problem when it is happening to you.

On my way to lunch recently, I passed a homeless guy with a sign that read "Vote Obama; I need the money." I laughed. In a restaurant my server had on an "Obama 08" tie. Again I laughed. Just imagine the coincidence. When the bill came, I decided not to tip the server and explained to him that I was exploring the Barack-Obama-redistribution-of-wealth concept. He stood there in disbelief while I told him that I was going to redistribute his tip to someone who I deemed more in need—the homeless guy outside. The server angrily stormed from my sight. I went outside, gave the homeless guy $10 and told him to thank the server inside as I've decided he could use the money more. The homeless guy was grateful. At the end of my rather unscientific redistribution experiment, I realized the homeless guy was grateful for the money he did not earn, but the waiter was pretty angry that I gave away the money he did earn even though the actual recipient deserved money more. I guess redistribution of wealth is an easier thing to swallow in concept than in practical application.

—A. Hart, Forest Park

Thursday, April 12, 2007

An iPod for every kid? Are they !#$!ing idiots?

The Detroit News carries a great editorial. Even liberals can get fed up...

We have come to the conclusion that the crisis Michigan faces is not a shortage of revenue, but an excess of idiocy. Facing a budget deficit that has passed the $1 billion mark, House Democrats Thursday offered a spending plan that would buy a MP3 player or iPod for every school child in Michigan.

No cost estimate was attached to their hare-brained idea to "invest" in education. Details, we are promised, will follow.

The Democrats, led by their increasingly erratic speaker Andy Dillon of Redford Township, also pledge $100 million to make better downtowns.

Their plan goes beyond cluelessness. Democrats are either entirely indifferent to the idea that extreme hard times demand extreme belt tightening, or they are bone stupid. We lean toward the latter.

We say that because the House plan also keeps alive, again without specifics, the promise of tax hikes.

The range of options, according to Rep. Steve Tobocman, D-Detroit, includes raising the income tax, levying a 6 percent tax on some services, and taxing junk food and soda.

We wonder how financially strained Michigan residents will feel about paying higher taxes to buy someone else's kid an iPod.

That they would include such frivolity in a crisis budget plan indicates how tough it will be to bring real spending reform to Michigan.

Senate Republicans issued a plan a week ago that eliminates the deficit with hard spending cuts. Now their leader, Mike Bishop of Rochester Hills, is sounding wobbly, suggesting he might compromise on a tax hike.

We hope Bishop is reading the polls that say three-quarters of Michigan residents oppose higher taxes.

There are few things in the House budget outline from which to forge a compromise.

For example, Dillon says he would shift the burden of business taxes to companies that operate in Michigan, but don't have a facility here. The certain outcome of that plan is to drive even more businesses out of Michigan.

About all we see of merit is a call for government consolidation and a demand that state employees contribute more to their retirement benefits -- which is no more than House Democrats suggested for future state lawmakers a few weeks ago.

We find it ironic that the Democrats are proposing floating $5 billion in revenue bonds to pay for retiree health care, when Gov. Jennifer Granholm vetoed a nearly identical plan by Oakland County because it would cost the state money.

Instead of advocating cost-saving changes in public school teacher pension and health plans, Dillon suggests more study. There have been plenty of studies of the issue, with the conclusion being that hundreds of millions of dollars could be saved through reforms. Michigan needs action, not more study committees.

Dillon also proposes that the state cover 50 percent of the cost of catastrophic health insurance for everyone in the place, but once again doesn't specify a funding source.

Stop the stupidity. Michigan can't tax or spend its way out of this economic catastrophe.

The only responsible option is to bring spending in line with current revenues. The mission must be to expand the tax base, rather than to expand taxes, by crafting a budget that encourages growth.

We won't get there by wasting money on early Christmas presents for Michigan kids.

Wednesday, June 04, 2003

The Real Source of Israel's Economic Woes

Azure has an astounding article on the massive impact of taxes on the Israeli public and the extent that this is the underlying problem in their economic stagnation.

Most economists and public figures have pinned the blame on the collapse of the world high-tech market, as well as the downturn in tourism and foreign investment since the outbreak of war with the Palestinian Authority in September 2000. Although these factors account for part of the economic malaise, they are far from explaining how these setbacks have succeeded in bringing Israel to the brink of financial ruin; and they are even less helpful in pointing towards a solution. To get to the heart of the matter, one has to look at a more systemic, long-term problem: The reckless spending and taxation policies of successive Israeli governments, which have relentlessly choked off economic initiative.

Last year, government spending in Israel constituted 55 percent of the country's economic activity. This puts Israel three percentage points ahead of Sweden for the dubious distinction of having the largest public sector in the industrial world. And tempting as it is to blame excessive spending on the threats Israel faces, defense expenditures account for only one-fifth of its annual budget of $56 billion. The real problem lies with social benefits, transfer payments, and the bloated government payroll, which together comprise more than half the budget. In other words, even if it were possible to lower Israel's defense spending to the level of a typical European country (3 percent of GDP, instead of 10 percent), the Jewish state would still rank with Sweden, Denmark, and France as a world leader in budgetary profligacy.

Though Israelis have been slow to acknowledge this long-festering problem, the current crisis has led to a growing awareness of it, especially since the appointment of Finance Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, who has made deep budget cuts the centerpiece of his ministry's emergency recovery plan. "The problem," he explained at a March press conference unveiling the plan, is that "the public sector… which does not create money and only consumes it… constitutes 55 percent of economic activity, while the productive sector constitutes only 45 percent."

Spending AND high taxes are crushing Israel.
Indeed, it might well be that the greatest problem facing Israel's economy is not the size of its government, but the tax burden needed to fund it. It is here that Israelis at every level—workers, employers, and investors—face a grueling string of disincentives. Consequently, a systematic effort to reduce taxes is essential if Israel is to find a path to stable growth.

The tax burden is sky-high.
Just how high are the taxes Israelis face? In the two areas that wreak the greatest havoc in the life and work of the individual—taxes on labor and purchase taxes on goods and services—Israeli rates are among the highest in the world.

A family of four who earns $13K is in a 38 percent marginal bracket. At $28K, 55 percent. At $50K, 60 percent. But that's not all you get.
These figures, however, tell only part of the story, as Israelis are confronted with a battery of additional taxes that sharply diminish the purchasing power of whatever is left of their earnings. Most burdensome among them is an 18-percent value-added tax (VAT) levied on virtually all goods and services, including staples like bread and milk. This means, for example, that a middle-class worker earning less than $30,000, who is already in the 55-percent tax bracket, loses another one-sixth of his net salary the moment he needs to buy something with it.

Yet VAT is only part of the problem, as many items considered essential in the industrialized world face punitive taxes and customs duties in Israel. Suppose that the middle-class worker from our example above decides to take a second, part-time job in order to earn enough to buy a car. Were he living in the United States, he could purchase a modest vehicle such as a Honda Civic for about $13,500, including taxes; and if he were taxed at American rates, he would need an additional salary of $20,000—no small feat, but feasible over a period of a year or two. In Israel, however, due to customs duties of 110 percent and VAT of 18 percent, the same car costs $25,400. To retain that much income after taxes, the Israeli would have to earn an additional $56,400—nearly three times more than his American counterpart would need.

But the tax burden faced by the Israeli car owner does not end once he has finished paying for his new vehicle. Since the sticker price is nearly twice what it is in the United States, car insurance in Israel is also far more expensive, costing about $1,600 annually for the Honda Civic. Gasoline is taxed even more aggressively; today, the price for a gallon of unleaded gas in America is around $1.80, while in Israel, due to a purchase tax of 190 percent (plus the omnipresent VAT), the same gallon costs $3.90. Thus, if the Honda owner were to drive 10,000 miles a year, gas alone would cost about $1,000 more than an American driver would pay. To add insult to injury, the Israeli even has to pay an annual tax of $25 on his car radio to help cover the costs of the deficit-ridden government broadcasting network.

Israel is even worse than the typical socialist offenders in Europe.
According to a study by Adi Brender of the Bank of Israel's Research Division, such a worker in Israel paid a marginal tax rate of 40 percent in 2002—a full 26 percentage points more than was paid by his counterpart in Germany, 14 points more than in France, 10 points more than in Norway, and 7 points more than in Sweden. Similarly, an Israeli whose income is twice the national average is taxed at 55 percent, a rate exceeded only by two Western countries, Denmark and Belgium.

But even this analysis downplays the degree to which the Israeli tax burden is high. For starters, taxation in the leading welfare states of Europe includes substantial set-asides for pensions, whereas Israeli workers have to fund their own pensions. Taxes in many European countries also fund crucial services for which Israelis must pay extra: In Sweden, for example, education is free of charge, whereas Israeli parents have to pay for school supplies, books, field trips, and "supplemental" classes for their elementary, middle, and high school-age children. Swedish university studies are likewise covered by the government, whereas college-bound Israelis have to foot the bill for tuition, room, and board.

The article goes on to discuss the economic and ethical disincentives caused by the tax system.
The devastation caused by Israel's tax burden plays itself out in a long string of disincentives that quash economic activity at every turn. High taxes on labor undermine the individual's incentive to work harder, while discouraging employers—who typically must give the government one dollar for every dollar they add to the net income of an employee—from promoting workers or hiring new ones. These same taxes also stifle capital development, since they leave Israelis with little disposable income to save or invest. And, by raising the expenses of companies both for labor and for the procurement of goods and services, high taxes are a formidable obstacle to Israel's competitiveness internationally.

All this is bad enough, but it may not be the worst of it. High taxes dramatically increase the incentive to cheat, as anyone who has ridden in Israeli taxis quickly discovers. The reason the meter is typically "broken" is that cab drivers prefer not to run it, as it produces an official record that will be used for calculating income tax and VAT payments. In the same way, Israeli teachers often supplement their income by teaching private lessons after school hours, for which parents pay with personal checks on which the payee line is left blank. Virtually the entire industry of home additions and repairs likewise operates on a cash basis, which entails the creation of "unofficial" receipts given to the customer, but not to tax authorities. The prevalence of illegal economic activity, driven in large part by exorbitant tax rates, turns hundreds of thousands of otherwise law-abiding citizens—most of whom unhesitatingly leave their families to serve their country in army reserve duty—into tax cheats, accustomed to duplicity in their economic transactions.

But perhaps the worst result is that Jews from Western countries are deterred from moving to Israel, while many Israelis—including some of the country's most skilled workers and entrepreneurs—are driven to emigrate.

...Instead of encouraging Jews to come to Israel and take part in the ongoing effort to build a Jewish state, the current tax regime creates every possible incentive for Israelis to leave. As such, it is nothing less than a threat to the success of the Zionist enterprise.

At least the article goes on to mention that Israel certainly can pull itself out of this morass by following the tried-and-true methods of Thatcher, Reagan, and New Zealand.

Tuesday, June 03, 2003

Big Brother Driving

Wired reveals the machinations of the state of Oregon to reach into your wallet in ever more insidious ways.

The Oregon Department of Transportation is evaluating a scheme that uses the global positioning system to keep track of the distance every car travels in order to impose a road-use tax.

How do you pay?
When a driver needs to fill up the tank, a built-in radio transmitter will zap the data to a reader alongside the pump, and the mileage charge will be added to the gasoline bill.

Why do they need GPS?
...pure odometer readings can't guarantee that all the miles traveled are within Oregon...

Big Brother will be your backseat taxer.
"We're also looking at variable pricing and congestion pricing," he said, "and we could even do different time-of-day rates." For example, the state could make it more expensive to drive downtown during rush hour than it would be to cover the same ground during a midnight munchie run when the streets are deserted.

Even the Greens see problems with this.
Chris Hagerbaumer, a program director at the Oregon Environmental Council, a conservation advocacy group in Portland, points out that moving away from a tax based on gas consumption eliminates an incentive to purchase fuel-efficient vehicles.

Bureaucrats can manage to alienate conservatives, libertarians, and greens in one fell swoop with a massive expansion of spying on the public while trying to shake them down for more money.

It Can Be Done

Telegram to Governor Davis---It can be done, at least in WA (link).

House and Senate negotiators reached an accord yesterday, producing a $23 billion, two-year spending plan that erases a $2.6 billion spending gap mostly with cuts and budget freezes.

No general tax increase is required, although liquor prices and college tuition will go up.

Friday, May 30, 2003

Isn't Not the Poverty, Stupid

The NYT points out that homicide bombers are more well-off than the average.

A remarkable 57 percent of suicide bombers have some education beyond high school, compared with just 15 percent of the population of comparable age.

So it's the civil liberties of the country of origin. How about other factors?
Once a country's degree of civil liberties is taken into account ... income per capita bears no relation to involvement in terrorism.
Apart from the size of a country and the extent of its civil liberties, no factor that I could find — including the literacy rate, infant mortality rate, terrain, ethnic divisions and religious fractionalization — could predict whether people from that country were more or less likely to take part in international terrorism.

Let's Add Pharmaceutical Benefits On Top of This!

The US Treasury is reporting that the US faces $44.2 trillion in liabilities for future health care and pension obligations. How high can we go if we add additional medical benefits like pharmaceutical benefits on top of this?

If the Bush administration covered this up as FT reports, I'd guess that they were timing the release instead. I would would push the report when asking Congress to start cutting back on this largesse.

You can get a copy of the report here.

I still do not expect anything to be done about the problem. As soon as Republicans talk about cutting back on social programs, the issues are demagogued by the Democrats.

Tuesday, May 27, 2003

Monday, May 26, 2003

Any Link Between Inflation and Federal Deficits

The Washington Times

The preponderance of research argues strongly that inflation or deflation expectations and anticipated real returns on investment (ie., economic growth) are the major determinants of interest rates. While there may be a connection between deficits and rates, it's a fuzzy connection.

Wednesday, May 21, 2003

Where I Stand

Take this test from The Political Compass to see where you fall on the political spectrum.

I fall close to Milton Friedman. I'll post the picture of my score when I'm able to link to it.